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2024-12-13 05:31:24

Treasury futures closed in early trading, with 2-year Treasury futures (TS) up 0.14%, 5-year Treasury futures (TF) up 0.42%, 10-year Treasury futures (T) up 0.64% and 30-year Treasury futures (TL) up 1.23%.Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.Datong, Shanxi: Parents' and children's provident funds can be withdrawn to buy houses. On December 9, the Housing Provident Fund Management Center of Datong City, Shanxi Province issued the Notice on Adjusting the Policy of Withdrawing and Lending Some Housing Provident Funds. According to the document, the minimum down payment ratio for the first set of housing and the second set of housing is 20% for paid employees who use provident fund loans to purchase self-occupied commercial housing, and 15% for affordable housing. At the same time, the interest rate of individual housing provident fund loans will be lowered by 0.25 percentage points. From May 18, 2024, the interest rates of the first set of individual housing provident fund loans for less than five years (including five years) and more than five years will be adjusted to 2.35% and 2.85% respectively, and the interest rates of the second set of individual housing provident fund loans for less than five years (including five years) and more than five years will be adjusted to 2.775% and 3.325% respectively. Datong will also appropriately increase the amount of provident fund loans. For high-level talents, families with two or more children and families with active military personnel, the maximum amount of housing provident fund loans will rise by 20% on the basis of the current policy. Expand the scope of housing provident fund purchase, and when employees purchase housing, they can also apply for the withdrawal of housing provident fund for parents or children.


India's SENSEX30 index opened 0.08% higher at 81,575.96 points. Among the constituent stocks, MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA opened 1.15% higher, ADANI PORTS rose 1%, and Indian State Grid rose 0.88%; In terms of decline, Maruti Suzuki opened 0.46% lower, Reliance Industries fell 0.4%, and TITAN fell 0.39%.The contracted sales of Xuhui Holding Group in November was 2.27 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 41%.China Heihe-Russia Kanikurgan Highway Port Passenger Transport was officially opened. On December 10th, with the first passenger completing the exit formalities, China Heihe Highway Port-Russia Kanikurgan Highway Port Passenger Transport was officially opened. Passengers take buses from Heihe International Highway Passenger Station in China and Amoula Suo International Bus Station in Blagoveshchensk, Russia, respectively, and cross the Sino-Russian cross-border highway bridge, with four buses entering and leaving each country every day. After the official opening of passenger transportation at Heihe Highway Port, the functions of Sino-Russian highway ports have been further improved, providing a more convenient channel for cross-border communication. (Xinhua News Agency)


Saudi Arabia claims that Israel's actions in Syria have destroyed the opportunity to restore security.Australian Treasury Secretary chalmers: We will hold consultations with the Shadow Minister on the composition of the new Reserve Bank of Australia. Substantial progress has been made in fighting inflation.Israel attacked the Syrian capital and its surrounding areas again. Syrian local media released a message today (December 10) that Israel once again launched an attack on the Syrian capital Damascus and its surrounding areas. According to Agence France-Presse, the Syrian capital Damascus heard a huge explosion today (December 10).

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